Anniversary of Camille and Active Tropics

This is the 43rd Anniversary of the impact of Hurricane Camille on the Valley and we may have more to watch in the Tropics.

Hurricane Camille made landfall on the Louisiana coast in August of 1969, and a few days later it created some of the worst flash flooding Virgina has ever seen.

According to the National Weather Service, 117 people in Virginia died, and communication was cut off to the outside world. Nelson county was the hardest hit in the state.

Camille was actually the second strongest (by recorded central pressure) hurricane to hit the U.S, behind the Labor Day Hurricane of 1935. Both hurricanes also have recorded wind gusts of 190 mph!

Take a look at the wild track of Camille.

Waynesboro saw over 8 feet of water in the downtown area from flooding off the South river!

Again, just because we don't live by the coast doesn't mean we can't see the destructive force of Mother Nature from Tropical systems! 

(Remember what Irene did to Vermont last year?)

So what's going on now? Well on Monday night the National Hurricane Center had Invest 94-L had a 90% chance of becoming tropical by Tuesday.

As of Tuesday morning the Hurricane Hunters are out investigating Tropical Depression 9 as it moves closer towards the Lesser Antilles. However, this system is still fighting off some dry air right now, it will mostly likely overcome this and start to strengthen as it moves into the Eastern Caribbean. 

As of 5pm Tuesday this system has strengthened into Tropical Storm Isaac.

Here is what we call a "Spaghetti Plot" of some of the tropical forecast models.

Most of them bring the system through the Caribbean into or towards Florida by this weekend.

From there, some of the long range forecast models like the GFS bring the system into the Carolina coast.

Now this is at least ten days away and a lot of things could change.

So whether you like storms or you get nervous with them, no need to get excited or panic yet. But anyone on the East Coast needs to be aware of this and keep an eye out.

One big factor is going to be the upper level pattern, or the jet stream.

Will there be a trough in place to carry the system up the coast?

Or will a ridge start to build and bring it out to the Atlantic?

Or will there be a front in place to pick up this system and bring it into the mountains? There are many factors that could happen so no need to make any forecasts yet. As I mentioned plenty could change.

This is something we need to keep our eyes on in the next week.

No need to panic but it's always good to be prepared. Trim any lose branches/limbs around your house if you can. Stock some batteries, and bottled water which is always good in the case of any storm. Stay tuned we'll keep you posted because we are just starting to get close to the peak of hurricane season.

Follow Meteorologist Aubrey Urbanowicz WHSV on Facebook and Twitter.

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