December 21, 2010 - Weekend Forecast Update

By: Mallory Brooke
By: Mallory Brooke

We're still in a bit of a 'gray' area with computer models when it comes to forecasting for Saturday/Sunday, but here's an update!

Well, we've made it through Tuesday! I know many of us have extra days off for the holiday and will start traveling shortly. The weekend forecast remains on everyones mind, so here's the latest.

While we may have a white Christmas, it's not going to have ideal timing. Most of us wish to wake up to a fresh blanket of snow, but it will likely wait until the end of the day Saturday to begin falling in most regions.

The computer models have drastically slowed down this system over the past 2 days, but Wednesday will be a critical day for this storm system concerning model data. California will get its last blast of heavy rain Wednesday from the piece of energy that will eventually make it towards our area this weekend. Once that energy moves over land (Wed), we'll start to ingest more upper level data into our models, which always helps computer models, and thus meteorologists, get a better handle on the storm.

Let me just say that models are not in a consensus - at all. What most meteorologists do at this point is lean towards the most consistent model (which would be the Euro right now) but take into account the thoughts of the other computer models. It's still a bit early to go into amounts, but it's looking like a minor to moderate storm. This will NOT be a repeat of last years blizzards - at least for our area.

Right now precipitation looks to stay light in the Valley but will impact holiday travel - especially as you travel north and east. The I-95 corridor and all the airports around it will likely experience delays from this upcoming storm system.

If you are traveling Christmas Eve and even Christmas morning, roads and airports should be clear in our area and east. However, the day after Christmas looks to be the most highly impacted day for us - maybe even Monday too.

Of course I'll keep you updated on my blog and on WHSV's Daybreak & the News @ Noon. Keep an eye out for evening posts since some model data doesn't come in until ~2:30pm. WHSV will be here to take you through every snow, no matter what day it is. You can always count on the First Alert Storm Team!

 

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