Did They Say SNOW?!
The answer: yes. But, it’s nothing to get too excited about yet.
Most of our area will just see some rain, however into Highland and Pendleton Counties there is the chance to see some wet snow flakes mixing in with the rain. It looks like October will be moving in with a vengeance, colder air for everyone, some wet weather, and yes, our first taste of winter.
For the past week we've been stuck in the same weather pattern, "the cut-off low" spinning in the mid-west. We needed something strong to push it out of the way, and now it's here. A series of troughs, or essentially elongated areas of low pressure, are going to move through the area as part of the jet stream. They are strong enough to take that persistent low with them, but also strong enough to drastically change our temperatures.
Here's what our models (WRF) are showing for Saturday morning:
Pink: A wintry mix (mostly rain with a some wet snow mixed in)
White: Primarily Snow
We are not expecting accumulation at this time, just a notable first "snow fall" being that it is October first.
What does this mean for your JMU Homecoming? Saturday is likely going to start off rather cold, cloudy, and we will likely see a few showers around the area. It is not going not be a washout... we shouldn't see more than a .10" of rain. Just be ready with your warm food, warm(ing) drinks, to bundle up, and some rain gear, just in case. The good news: the weather should improve throughout the day.
Bottom line, this forecast isn't chasing me away, so it shouldn't stop you either!