Spring is here and that means showers and thunderstorms usually. We have a very strong system that has been marching through the central part of the country for the last two days producing some severe weather.
Here is a look from the Storm Prediction Center with their preliminary reports from Wednesday.
7 tornadoes have so far been confirmed.
More severe weather is happening today, Thursday.
Take a look at the next image, this is Thursday afternoon's Satellite and Radar image.
The red boxes are tornado watch boxes that span over 900 miles long.
Look towards Minnesota, that is snow!
This is a very large, and strong storm system.
Most of this strength is thanks to a very strong Low Level Jet, which is a lot of moisture and some very strong winds, combined with an upper level disturbance which helps with the uplift to get these storms going.
What does this means for us?
First, this system will NOT be this strong by the time it gets to our area.
The strong dynamics with this system do look to weaken just before the storm system gets close to our area.
There is still however a very strong pressure gradient, meaning some pretty strong winds.
Not only will winds increase Thursday night, but they will continue to be strong through the entire day Friday.
Winds could also be even stronger with this line of showers and storms that moves through into Friday evening.
Speaking of Friday evening, this is from our future-cast forecast model.
This is a snapshot of what Friday evening MAY look like around 6:30.
It may be a good idea tonight, to tie down anything outside that you don't want to blow away, just in case.
Is this going to be a really bad storms system for us? NO. But it is going to be a bit inconvenient. Showers and storms will be moving in by the afternoon.
I'm expecting them into the Highlands after lunchtime, and into the Valley by mid to late afternoon.
Keep in mind with the speed of the front, timing can change by an hour or two either way.
But afternoon/early eveng showers and storms is the general time frame.
As far as severe storms, right now they are not looking very likely, but if we happen to see a fair amount of sunshine Friday morning, that's going to be a good indication that we need to watch for severe potential, biggest threat if that happens would be damaging winds. But right now I'm not looking at severe activity, however conditions, with any storm system, will always need to be monitored.
As far as rainfall totals, those are going to vary especially within individual storms. I'd expect anywhere from 1/2" to 1" with higher amounts in some areas due to storms. Some may even be able to pick up close to 2" of rain.
The good news, temperatures will be very spring like for the weekend, back into the 60 and right now, it looks like a fair amount of sunshine.