First Tropical Storm of the 2014 Season

As the first tropical storm forms, it will have an impact on parts of the east coast but there are some new tools that the National Hurricane Center is using this season.

Hurricane Season, it's 6 months out of the year but typically the activity doesn't peak until September/October. That's because the ocean waters don't heat up as quickly as the land does, and all summer the ocean is absorbing the sun's energy. By the end of August, the ocean temperatures are extremely warm, and they retain that warmth through most of October.

It's not a bad thing that's it's July 1st, and we're just now seeing our first named storm.

By this time in 2013, we had 2 named storms already and in 2012, there were 4 named storms before July 1st.

As of the 8 p.m. update from the National Hurricane Center on Tuesday night, TS Arthur is moving, well barely- movement is at 2mph.

He is expected to strengthen to a Category 1 hurricane by Thursday. Take a look a the expected track by Thursday afternoon.

For our area, we are pulling in some rain Thursday, thanks in part to a cold front and some pre-tropical moisture.

Right now we are expecting the storm to move off the east coast, and high pressure will move in behind.

That means northern winds, lower humidity, and cooler air for the 4th of July holiday.

The National Hurricane center is utilizing some experimental graphics this year and I've been excited to see these in action.

They were displayed tonight.

Meteorologists all over the country I expect, have been oo-ing and aah-ing over them, you can see what thrills us weather people.

This rainfall graphic is specific to the tropical storm alone.

It doesn't include any exterior tropical activity, as I mentioned we were tapping into tropical moisture Thursday- this doesn't include that because it's not directly related to the storm.

The one graphic that's most exciting is the storm surge map.Now this grapic won't be useful for the Valley, but if you have plans to vacation at the beach or you have family along the coast, it's a tool to use to let you know the possibility of how much storm surge could occur.

Unfortunately, hurricanes and tropical storms are categorized on wind speed only.

However, water (storm surge and inland flooding) is the deadliest threat.

I say this graphic is "exciting" because it's so informative, and it was created to keep people safe.

Hopefully it can change the mindset of people who think, "I only evacuate once a storm becomes a Cat 3."I know people who say that.

But if they look at this graphic when there is a Category 1 storm headed their way and they see that their street if forecast to be 6 feet under water, hopefully they change their mind.

A tropical storm still can have DEVASTATING flooding consequences. This image can clearly tell you if you are in an area that has high potential to flood.

This season is forecast to be near or just below average. But that doesn't tell you WHERE the storms will strike. If we had 8 storms this season they may all strike the U.S. Or we could have 10 storms and only one of them could affect the U.S. I'm not a huge believer in the forecast numbers, but if a storm affects you, that matters. No matter if it was supposed to be a slow, or above average year.

Remember in the Valley we can see remnant storms and inland flooding is our main threat. It's been over 10 years since we've been hit by a major storm. Make sure you are prepared in case it happens, but let's hope it doesn't.

Follow Meteorologist Aubrey Urbanowicz WHSV on Facebook and Twitter.

Read More Blogs is happy to provide a forum for commenting and discussion. Please respect and abide by the house rules:

Keep it clean, keep it civil, keep it truthful, stay on topic, be responsible, no links, share your knowledge, and please suggest removal of comments that violate these standards.

powered by Disqus
50 North Main Street Harrisonburg, VA 22801 540-433-9191 - Switchboard 540-433- 4028 - Fax 540-433-2700 - News Fax

WSVF Public Inspection File

Copyright © 2002-2014 - Designed by Gray Digital Media - Powered by Clickability
Gray Television, Inc.