As of Thursday afternoon, Hurricane Sandy remains a Category 2 storm, with winds over 100 mph and the storm is continuing to the northwest. Yes we haven't made a huge mention of Sandy yet this week other than it could change our forecast because there were so many variables at play with this storm, and it was way too early to tell. To be honest, it's still too early, but some things are coming together and we are tracking this as we head through the weekend.
1. We have a cold front moving through Friday night that will start our cool down process.
Take a look at Thursday afternoon satellite.
Combining this front, and with Sandy moving up the east coast, the front is going to wrap Sandy in and pull her back to the northeast.
2. Right now expect a cold blast of air, and strong winds from Sunday through possibly Wednesday. How strong will depend on the track of Sandy. Expect some rain, how much rain and if that rain will turn into a wintry mix will depend on the track and how much cold air wraps into the storm.
You may have heard of the GFS model before.
This is the newest run from this afternoon.
It does bring the core of the storm into the Long Island area but notice the cold wedge to the west.
Should it track in this direction, this would give us a better chance to see that cold air wrap in and the potential for some, dare I say it, wintry weather.
Our second scenario is if landfall is more south, closer towards the Delmarva, as the European model is now suggesting.
(This why there is so much uncertainty and we are still 4-5 days out on this storm.)
With this scenario it's likely we will see more of a strong wind and rain impact and the colder air could stay to our west limiting the winter potential immediately.
(But not making it impossible).
If you have any trees you've been meaning to trim or leaves in your yard, gutters to clean out, outside work, I recommend doing that tonight, Friday, or even Saturday.
As the track becomes more defined, we will keep updating. Remember there are still plenty of leaves on the trees and with wind and rain that leaves the potential for power outages, especially if some wintry weather were to mix in.