I hope everyone is enjoying their weekend - I'll keep this brief so that we can get back to it!
The track of our low pressure system has shifted over the past day and it looks like the shift is consistent throughout most models. Right now it looks like the low pressure will move through West Virginia, bringing the warmest part of the system through our area.
Originally, it looked like a strong area of high pressure was going to park itself over SE Canada and bring a cold air damming setup to our area as the low pressure system was tracking through the Ohio Valley. However, now it looks like the high pressure scurries to the east before the low pressure system tracks through the area. Therefore, the cold air damming wouldn't be in place and we wouldn't have any cold air source in the Valley.
While starting as a little ice is still certainly a possibility, I think the majority of this system will be a rainmaker - which is good - we need it!
Of course the placement of the high pressure can still change over the next several days, but right now I think we're going to follow with the trend of this winter, and "dodge a bullet".
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