More Rain to End the Week

A bit of rain finally fell in the Valley this week, and Friday could be the busiest day yet.

We Have Good News if Your Wanting More Rain!

Many areas received rain Wednesday and just about everyone should have seen some rain Thursday.

Here at our station we picked up only 0.10" of rain Wednesday and 0.30" Thursday. Some other areas Wednesday, like Sugar Grove picked up over 2" of rain! And on Thursday Stanley picked up just a half inch of rain.

That's good news because according to the US Drought monitor, Page county is officially now in a drought.

The rest of our area is still considered "abnormally dry."

That information was released Thursday, but does not account for the rain Wednesday or Thursday.

I'm expecting those number to improve greatly by next week.

It's possible most of the area could be out of the "dry" category by next week.

Friday isn't going to be steady rain all day. But look for better chances as we go through the afternoon.

Here is a look at the QPF forecast, these are estimated rainfall totals that are for Thursday night at 8pm through Friday night at 8pm.

We use this as a guide and it does fall in line with rainfall totals that we are expecting for Friday.

Looks like it should be easy for some areas see over a quarter of an inch of rain.

Others could see a half an inch to an inch of rain! 

That would be some great rain! 

However these totals do NOT include rainfall from thunderstorms and any storm depending on how slow moving, can put down an inch or more of rain. That also will lead to the risk of flash flooding for Friday, and we will be closely monitoring any localized flash flooding.

Don't forget with a frontal system moving through, that adds to the lift and instability of thunderstorms so tomorrow is not without a severe threat.

This is put out by the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma.

They have us in the Slight Risk category for severe storms on Friday.

This does not guarantee severe weather but it shows us there is the possibility for it.

It's hard to say if a severe thunderstorm watch will be issued, but the need for one will be monitored.

We are really looking at maybe an isolated chance for severe storms. Damaging winds will most likely be our main threat along with the risk for heavy rainfall.

Any slow moving storm can easily put down over 1" of rain. Storms can continue through the afternoon into the evening.

Depending on how slowly this front moves through will depict how long showers and storms will stick around.

Keep in mind, with any thunderstorms, trying to predict where they will pop is impossible. It's like watching a pot of boiling water. The ingredients are there, but you can't pin point where that first bubble will pop.

We're going to say Friday's going to be kind of an "inconvenient" day, just with all the showers and storm possibilities. You may have to bring in any plants if we start seeing stronger wind gusts. Also the commute home tomorrow won't be the best. Heavy rain on the highway, or any road for that matter is not fun to drive through. However, we still need to the rain so we'll take what Mother Nature is handing us.

So rainfall Friday will be localized. And totals are going to vary greatly. Please whatever you do, do not drive over any water covered roadways. Most deaths from flooding happen in cars from people trying to drive over water covered roads. Just don't do it.  

Follow Meteorologist Aubrey Urbanowicz WHSV on Facebook and Twitter.

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