The rain hasn't stopped in many areas of the Valley, but some of us have picked up a month's worth of rain in 12 hours. From midnight to 10:30am Thursday in Harrisonburg, we're picked up 2.36" of rain. Combine that with the rain from Sunday - Tuesday, that's our month's worth of rain.
Heavy rains will begin to wane by lunch time. Isolated showers will continue through the evening and into the overnight hours, however the Flash Flood Watch will likely be canceled early as the heaviest rains remain east.
A second area of low pressure will travel up the east coast Friday morning, keep rain in the forecast for many areas to our east. However, the Valley clears out by lunch time Friday with lots of sunshine for our first Saturday of October.
Unfortunately computer models do not agree on the forecast from Sunday - Wednesday. The GFS model keeps us high and dry through Monday & Tuesday, while the ECMWF (European Model) and the CMC (Canadian Model) bring back more cloud cover and rain for the first half of next week. I'm leaning towards the ECMWF & CMC because they were the first two to big up on Thursday's rain - while the GFS had this widespread area of rain well of the eastern seaboard. However, it's still 5-7 days out, and forecasts will continue to change.
Be sure to stay tuned to WHSV on-air and online for the latest weather information!