Will There be an Indian Summer? 11/3

Temps stay above average next week, does that mean an Indian Summer?

Will there be an Indian Summer?

Today's high in the mid to upper 60's may have almost felt like an early summer day.

Thursday's high is really only a few degrees above average so that's not really groundbreaking.

But what classifies as an Indian Summer?

According to the American Meteorological Society (AMS) definition, it can happen in late Autumn, (Late October to Mid November), and it's a period of abnormally warm and dry weather with clear skies, but some haze along with chilly nights.

 

And an Indian Summer can't technically be classified as one until we've seen a first freeze. I think our freeze and snow last weekend qualifies, so that's a check.

If you'll notice on our 7-day forecast for next Mon-Wed we are looking at temperatures in the Mid to Upper 60s! (*Cue the cheering*)

Pretty nice weather right? Average temps for the 2nd week of Nov are 57-59 degrees so I would consider 3 days above 60 as "abnormally warm."

I've also heard that it must be ten degrees above average, or at least 70 degrees but not according to the AMS.

So where does the term stem from?

I love stories that start with "As legend has it" so...

As legend has it... the term dates back to at least the mid 1700's where the Native Americans would see the unusually warm weather as an opportunity to gather more food to store up for the winter. The hazy conditions are thought to be coined from the early settlers who would see the smoke from the campfires from the Native American camps.

 

  

Our Indian Summer would be thanks to a strong ridge of High pressure over the northeast.

 

But then the high will dip slightly southward to sit right over coastal Virginia towards the middle of the week.

 

 

An Indian Summer doesn't happen every year, but it can also happen two or three times in a season. So here's hoping we can see that Indian Summer, and it's not our last.

AUrbanowicz@whsv.com 

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