Spring Weather

Hummingbird, bird, monarch migration, spring flood and drought outlook, last freeze and frost dates and more
(WITN)
Published: Mar. 16, 2021 at 9:15 PM EDT|Updated: Apr. 4, 2023 at 5:59 PM EDT
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The first official day of spring is either on March 20 or 21st every day. When it comes to Meteorological data, we classify spring as starting on March 1st.

Here’s why:

**For last spring frost and freeze data, scroll to the bottom

Spring Wildfire season

For Virginia and West Virginia
For Virginia and West Virginia(WHSV)

Spring flooding

April showers bring May flowers, or May flooding. Spring flooding is very common across our area. Here are two links for spring flooding outlooks.

Spring Leaf Index

Did you know there’s a phenology network that tracks the progress of the spring tree bloom? You can track the status of spring and see how it compares to average:

USA National Phenology Network

Where the trees are starting to bloom and the timing compared to average

Trees begin budding in Lynchburg.

Monarch Butterfly Migration

Learn all about the monarch butterfly migration from Mexico. Take a look at the migration map and sighting dates. There is also some great learning information for kids.

Journey North

Monarch butterfly migration map

Monarch butterfly during Beaver Creek Reserve annual Butterfly Fest August, 2019.

Hummingbird Migration

Learn all about the hummingbird migration and where hummingbird sightings are.

Hummingbird Central

Hummingbird migration map

You can also read more information if you want to read more on putting out feeders and information from the Southwest Virginia Wildlife Center:

Bird Migration Forecast

Did you know there’s a website that tracks the bird migration? They use weather forecast tools to track the migration and when the majority of the birds might be over a certain area. When the birds are migrating, you can help out by turning out your lights. This helps the birds at night so it doesn’t lure them to artificial light, which can cause injury in some cases. You can even enter in your specific location to get the migration forecast.

Bird Migration Maps

Check out where the birds are migrating to and see the forecast

Soil Temperature, current and forecast

Cherry Blossom Peak Bloom

It’s not spring in the Mid-Atlantic without the cherry blossoms. You can track the estimated peak bloom dates and the cherry blossom bloom status from the National Park system. Keep in mind the bloom forecast is all dependant on weather. A warm spell can speed up the bloom while a rainy or cool spell can stall it. The peak bloom time varies year to year

Cherry Blossom Bloom Watch

Cherry blossom forecast and information

Cherry blossoms in DC this week

Spring Drought Outlook

US Seasonal Drought Outlook

A look at where potential drought conditions either persist or worsen

File image

Last Spring Frost and Freeze Data

A frost can occur with temperatures below 36°. For optimal frost conditions, you’re looking for calm wind, that’s no breeze at all, and clear skies. Of course the cold temperatures. The coldest temperatures on a night with calm wind and clear skies will be any low spots, so at the base of any terrain, at the bottom of a hill, in a sheltered valley, etc.

Frost becomes much more widespread with temperatures right at 32° and a hard freeze is temperatures at 28° or below.

How to read the table: The average last frost date is going to be at 36°, but there is still a 10% chance of this or a lower temperature after this date. The 50% date means there’s still a 50% change of 36° or colder after that date.

At 32° that’s a hard frost and a light freeze. There’s still a 10% chance of temperatures at or below 32° after this date.

At 28° this is the average last hard freeze date. There’s still a 10% chance of temperatures at or below 28° after this date.

DALE ENTERPRISE (Harrisonburg)
TEMPERATURE10% CHANCE AT OR BELOW AFTER THIS DATE50% CHANCE AT OR BELOW AFTER THIS DATERECORD LATEST DATE
36°MAY 19MAY 3JUNE 11TH, 1972 & 1913
32°MAY 7JUNE 9, 1912
28°APRIL 21MAY 22, 2002

STAUNTON

TEMPERATURE10% CHANCE AT OR BELOW AFTER THIS DATE50% CHANCE AT OR BELOW AFTER THIS DATERECORD LATEST DATE
36°MAY 19MAY 1JUNE 11, 1972
32°MAY 6MAY 28, 1994
28°APRIL 18MAY 11, 1966

LURAY

TEMPERATURE10% CHANCE AT OR BELOW AFTER THIS DATE50% CHANCE AT OR BELOW AFTER THIS DATERECORD LATEST DATE
36°MAY 24MAY 7JUNE 11, 1972
32°MAY 15JUNE 8, 1977
28°APRIL 29MAY 22, 2002

WOODSTOCK

TEMPERATURE10% CHANCE AT OR BELOW AFTER THIS DATE50% CHANCE AT OR BELOW AFTER THIS DATERECORD LATEST DATE
36°MAY 23MAY 6JUNE 6, 1945
32°MAY 14MAY 25, 2013
28°MAY 1MAY 16, 2016
PETERSBURG, WV (elevation below 1,000′)
TEMPERATURE10% CHANCE AT OR BELOW AFTER THIS DATE50% CHANCE AT OR BELOW AFTER THIS DATERECORD LATEST DATE
36°MAY 22MAY 5JUNE 6, 1945
32°MAY 13JUNE 6, 1945
28°APRIL 30MAY 11, 1966
WARDENSVILLE (more realistic dates for most of our West Virginia locations)
TEMPERATURE10% CHANCE AT OR BELOW AFTER THIS DATE50% CHANCE AT OR BELOW AFTER THIS DATERECORD LATEST DATE
36°MAY 30MAY 16JUNE 24, 1918
32°MAY 22JUNE 6, 1945
28°MAY 11MAY 25, 1956

BAYARD, WV (Alleghenies)

TEMPERATURE10% CHANCE AT OR BELOW AFTER THIS DATE50% CHANCE AT OR BELOW AFTER THIS DATERECORD LATEST DATE
36°JUNE 10MAY 26JUNE 30, 1938
32°MAY 30JUNE 22, 1940
28°MAY 20JUNE 15, 1933
Shenandoah Valley and Potomac Highlands
Shenandoah Valley and Potomac Highlands(whsv)

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